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Journal of Cellular Physiology

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Cellular Physiology's content profile, based on 21 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Contributions of immune cell biomarkers to explaining differences in mortality risk by sex in the Health and Retirement Study

Yin, M. A.; Nguyen, V.; Nathan, A.; Patel, C.

2026-05-29 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354256 medRxiv
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Background: It is well-established that males have a higher mortality risk than females. Immune cells and their function are known to undergo characteristic changes during aging, and immune cells are known to have sex differences. Immune cells and their function have been linked to mortality risk, but no studies have investigated to what degree, if at all, Immune Cell Biomarkers (ICBs) contribute to the known differences in mortality risk by sex. Methods: Using participant data from the Health and Retirement Study (n = 8,822), we applied multivariable linear regressions adjusting for age, cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus, sex, and race/ethnicity to identify differences by sex in 48 immune cell biomarker (ICB, e.g. T cells, B cells, Monocytes, etc.) percentages and counts (measured in 2016). We studied how the associations between ICBs and mortality risk differ by sex using stratified Cox Proportional Hazard (CPH) models. We estimated how inclusion of sex explained the relationship between ICBs and all-cause mortality, and conversely, how inclusion of individual and all ICBs combined explain the relationship between sex and all-cause mortality using multivariable modeling approaches. Results: Differences in ICBs by sex range between 2-38% (39/48 statistically significant). 9 ICBs were significantly associated with mortality risk in the entire sample. While different ICBs were significantly associated with mortality risk in the stratified analyses, particularly with respect to monocyte, B cell, and NK cell populations, adjusting for sex modestly influenced the hazard ratios of the ICBs (sex: 8 ICBs, percent change <5.4%). Furthermore, individual and cumulative contributions of ICBs in explaining the differences in mortality risk by sex were not significant.

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Biological Age and Complication Prediction in Hypertension: A 13-Year Cohort

Kim, B.-s.; Bae, C.-y.; Kim, I.-h.; Choi, Y.-j.; Jeon, M.-h.

2026-05-29 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354288 medRxiv
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1. Background: With the rising prevalence of hypertension, especially among younger populations, there is a critical need to better assess health status and predict associated complications. This study developed a biological age model ("hypertension age") for hypertensive patients to predict the risk and timing of major complications. 2. Methods: Using South Korea's NHIS-NHID data, researchers analyzed 4,535,041 hypertensive patients who underwent health examinations between 2009 and 2010. Patients were followed for an average of 12.40 years (until 2022). Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to develop the biological age (cBA) model. The risk and onset timing of complications were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards and multiple regression models, adjusting for variables like medication use and baseline diseases. 3. Results: A 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in the age gap?where biological age exceeds chronological age (cBA - CA)?was significantly associated with an elevated risk for all major complications in both sexes (p < 0.001). Furthermore, a 1-SD increase in this gap significantly accelerated the time to complication onset for nearly all conditions (p < 0.001), with the exception of dementia in women. The impacts of medication use, hypertension duration, and baseline comorbidities varied by specific complication. 4. Conclusions: Lowering "hypertension age" relative to chronological age can significantly reduce the risk and delay the onset of major cardiovascular and related complications. Quantifying this biological age gap serves as a powerful motivational tool for personalized health management and complication prevention in hypertensive patients.

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Health Literacy and Lifestyle Scores Among A Small but Diverse Group of Older Asian Adults Who Attended Community Health Events in Los Angeles

Zhang, E.; Tran, T.; Shun, K.; Tran, D.; Tsai, A.; Kwang, E.; DerSarkissian, M.; Kuo, T.

2026-05-29 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354181 medRxiv
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The Asian population in Los Angeles is among the largest and most heterogeneous in the U.S. This is true culturally and health-wise. Older Asians have differing risks for cardiovascular and cardiometabolic disease, depending on their ethnicity, health literacy, and lifestyle choices. This pilot examines several of these factors in a small but diverse group of older Asian adults who attended community health events from 2024-2025. Self-reported and biometric data were collected at five such events hosted by the Asian Pacific Health Corps at UCLA. The pilot generated health literacy and lifestyle (HLL) scores for all participating attendees and explored how they relate to their socio-demographics, healthcare habits, and predictions of their own health data. Overall, there were significantly more females than males with higher HLL scores (p = 0.027). College education (p = 0.028) and "normal" ranges for biometric data (e.g., blood pressure, BMI, blood glucose, cholesterol) were related to higher median HLL scores. With a few exceptions, fewer than 50% accurately predicted their biometric numbers regardless of HLL scores, suggesting a disconnect between perception and reality, and that better provider-patient communication may help foster greater patient understanding about their chronic conditions. These HLL score distributions indicate that educational attainment, better awareness of one's health, and high health literacy are individual factors that may influence older Asians' understanding and potential approach to managing their health conditions.

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Maternal micronutrient deficiencies and inflammation and their associations with adverse birth outcomes: The BRINDA project

Geng, J.; Luo, H.; Werner, R.; Liu, L.; Addo, Y.; Ramakrishnan, U.; Ramirez-Luzuriaga, M. J.; Nguyen, P. H.; Suchdev, P. S.; Young, M. F.; Ko, Y.-A.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353988 medRxiv
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Background: Maternal micronutrient deficiencies (MNDs) and inflammation contribute to adverse birth outcomes While the individual effects of MNDs have been studied, the consequence of co-occurring MNDs remains unclear. Objectives: To examine the associations between maternal micronutrient deficiencies and inflammation with adverse birth outcomes (ABOs). Methods: Data from 5,408 pregnant women across 11 datasets from 10 countries were analyzed. Descriptive analyses explored the distribution of MNDs (iron, vitamin A, zinc, serum folate, vitamin D, and vitamin B12) and inflammation (c-reactive protein >5 mg/L or -(1)-acid glycoprotein > 1g/L) by maternal characteristics (age, height, education, socioeconomic status [SES]) using chi-square tests. Associations of 1) single MNDs and inflammation and 2) co-occurring MNDs (2 deficiencies at a time) with low birth weight (LBW, < 2500 g), preterm birth (PTB, < 37 wks), and small-for-gestational age (SGA, < 10th percentile for gestational age), were examined using modified Poisson regression to estimate relative risk (RR), adjusting for age, SES, and dataset. Results: Young maternal age and short height were associated with up to 9.7% and 25% higher prevalence of MNDs and inflammation, respectively. Lower education and SES level were associated with higher prevalence of Vitamin B12 deficiency. Women with folate deficiency had an increased risk of LBW (RR [95% CI]: 1.22 [1.06, 1.39]). Co-occurring MNDs for folate and vitamin B12 were also associated with increased LBW risk (1.38 [1,1.9]) as was folate deficiency without iron (1.28 [1.09, 1.51]) or vitamin B12 deficiency (1.67 [1.09, 2.56]) compared with mothers without either deficiency. Iron deficiency without vitamin B12 deficiency was associated with a reduced LBW risk (0.4 [0.2, 0.79]). Conclusion: Maternal MNDs, especially folate and vitamin B12, are linked to adverse birth outcomes. Complex nutrient interactions highlight the need to explore these relationships to improve maternal and neonatal health interventions.

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Influenza vaccine effectiveness against pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Thailand: A national test-negative design study, 2013-2024

Chawalchitiporn, S.; Tantiyavarong, P.; Kittiwatanachod, J.; Naosri, S.; Prasert, K.; Praphasiri, P.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354178 medRxiv
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Background/Objectives: Influenza infection is a major trigger of pneumonia and acute exacerbations among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, national laboratory-confirmed evidence on influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) in this high-risk population remains limited. This study aimed to estimate the effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination against influenza-associated pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with COPD in Thailand.Methods: We conducted a nationwide retrospective test-negative design study using administrative healthcare data from the National Health Security Office linked with laboratory-confirmed influenza surveillance data between June 1, 2013, and May 31, 2025, covering twelve influenza seasons (2013-2024). COPD-related clinical episodes among patients aged [&ge;]40 years who presented with pneumonia or acute exacerbation of COPD and underwent RT-PCR testing for influenza were included. Multilevel Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted risk ratios (RRs), and VE was calculated as (1 - adjusted RR) x 100.Results: A total of 606,072 COPD-related clinical episodes were included, of which 192,224 (31.7%) were influenza-positive. The overall adjusted VE against influenza-associated pneumonia was 63.2% (95% CI: 62.5-64.0), while VE against influenza-associated COPD exacerbations was 67.0% (95% CI: 48.8-78.8). VE estimates were broadly similar across age groups and remained substantial across COPD severity strata. Although point estimates were numerically higher in severe and very severe COPD, subgroup differences should be interpreted cautiously.Conclusions: Seasonal influenza vaccination was associated with substantial protection against influenza-associated pneumonia and COPD exacerbations among patients with COPD in Thailand.

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DNA Methylation Signatures of Atherosclerosis and Vascular-Related Outcomes in U.S. and Irish Population-Based Cohorts

Ammous, F.; Smith, T.; Scarlett, S.; Hernandez, B.; McCrory, C.; Kenny, R. A.; Mitchell, C.; Faul, J. D.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.25.26354072 medRxiv
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Atherosclerosis is a systemic vascular process linked to cardiovascular, cognitive and renal outcomes. DNA methylation (DNAm)-based scores of atherosclerosis may capture cumulative biological processes underlying vascular aging. Here, we examined associations of DNAm scores for coronary artery calcification (DNAm-CAC) and carotid plaque (DNAm-cPlaque), derived from a large study of imaging-based subclinical atherosclerosis, with prevalent and incident outcomes in two population-based cohorts of older adults: the Health and Retirement Study (HRS; n = 3,875) and The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA; n = 487). Higher DNAm scores were associated with adverse cardiometabolic profiles and socioeconomic indicators. In HRS, higher DNAm-CAC was associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease (odds ratio per SD, 1.16; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.26), lower cognitive function ({beta} = -0.50, 95% CI -0.68 to -0.32) and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; -1.7 ml min-1 1.73 m-2, 95% CI -2.6 to -0.8) in unadjusted models. After adjustment for demographic and clinical risk factors, DNAm-CAC ({beta} = -0.29, 95% CI -0.46 to -0.13) and DNAm-cPlaque ({beta} = -0.24, 95% CI -0.42 to -0.06) remained associated with lower cognitive function, and DNAm-cPlaque was associated with incident cognitive impairment or dementia (hazard ratio per SD, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.01-1.32). Associations were attenuated after further adjustment for race/ethnicity and socioeconomic indicators. In TILDA, higher DNAm-cPlaque was associated with worse cognitive performance (incidence rate ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.21), increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.00-1.42) and lower eGFR, with consistent associations observed for DNAm-CAC. These findings suggest that DNAm-based scores of atherosclerosis capture systemic vascular processes linked to multiple age-related outcomes across populations. Further work is needed to clarify the biological pathways reflected by these scores and their relation to cumulative and socially patterned vascular risk.

7
Identification of a Fractional Model for an Outbreak of the Dengue Fever

Cresson, J.; Pere, M.; Szafranska, A.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354120 medRxiv
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This work focuses on the global and partial identification problem for fractional differential equations. We provide a general numerical procedure based on global and local optimization algorithms with two refinements for biological systems that ensure solution positivity and homogeneous parameter units. The method is applied to a new fractional model of Dengue outbreak called the Fractional Homogeneous Nishiura (FHN) model, calibrated using data of newly infected people in Cape Verde. We show that our identification method yields a better fit between data and model solutions than previous approaches and that our FHN model captures the dynamics of Dengue more closely than existing systems.

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Optical coherence tomography as a biomarker for frontotemporal dementia: a systematic review & meta-analysis

Wang, E.; Kohli, A.; Taha, H. B.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353366 medRxiv
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Background: Frontotemporal dementia (FTD) lacks widely accessible disease-specific biomarkers. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) may provide non-invasive measures of retinal changes associated with neurodegeneration. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating retinal biomarkers in FTD compared with Alzheimer disease (AD) and controls. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed and Embase was conducted through April 25, 2026 according to PRISMA guidelines. Studies evaluating OCT/OCTA biomarkers in FTD with comparator groups were included. Inverse weighted random-effects models, publication bias assessments, and meta-regressions were performed. Results: Ten studies involving 139 individuals with FTD, 87 with AD, 29 with mild cognitive impairment, 14 with TDP-43 proteinopathy, 5 with tauopathy, and 255 controls were included in the systematic review; five studies were eligible for meta-analysis. Compared with AD, individuals with FTD demonstrated significantly thinner retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness (SMD = -0.61, 95% CI -0.98, -0.24). Compared with controls, individuals with FTD exhibited significantly thinner ganglion cell layer-inner plexiform layer (GCL-IPL) thickness (SMD = -0.55, 95% CI -1.02, -0.08), whereas pooled analyses across multiple retinal biomarkers were non-significant (SMD = -0.19, 95% CI -0.52, 0.14). RNFL thickness correlated negatively with female % in FTD and positively with age in both AD and controls. Conclusions: Individuals with FTD exhibit lower RNFL thickness than AD and lower GCL-IPL thickness than controls, suggesting retinal alterations may reflect neurodegeneration. However, larger longitudinal studies with standardized OCT/OCTA protocols are needed to determine the diagnostic and prognostic utility of retinal biomarkers in FTD

9
Vaginal Antisepsis for Major Gynecologic Surgeries Using Chlorhexidine Gluconate versus Povidone Iodine: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dias, Y.; Gebrekidan, F.; Lowder, J.; Sutcliffe, S.; Yaeger, L.

2026-05-27 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353429 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of post-surgical outcomes, comparing chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) versus povidone iodine (PI) for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic procedures. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline, Embase, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched between 1986 and December 2023, for studies comparing CHG with PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs comparing CHG to PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. The primary outcome was surgical site infections (SSIs) and the secondary outcome was urinary tract infections (UTIs) and vaginal irritation. METHODS: Summary estimates were calculated by fixed effects models when I2 [&le;] 25% and by random effects models when I2 > 25%. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. The protocol for this systematic review was registered on PROSPERO (ID CRD42022378101). RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, four of which were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). 9538 patients were included, 4300 (45%) of whom were allocated to CHG and 5238 (55%) to PI. No statistically significant difference in SSI incidence was found for vaginal antisepsis with CHG versus PI in pooled analyses (n= 9538 patients; RR 1.20; 95% CI 0.92-1.57; I2 =0%). In contrast, a significantly higher risk of UTIs was observed for vaginal antisepsis with CHG than with PI (n=6061 patients; RR 1.48 95% CI 1.03-2.14; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: In our SRMA, there were no significant differences in SSI risk when either CHG or PI was utilized for antiseptic vaginal preparation. Interestingly, vaginal antisepsis with PI was associated with a lower incidence of post-operative UTIs following major gynecologic surgery. Our findings support current guidelines that form of vaginal antisepsis can be used for SSI prevention. They also suggest that PI may result in fewer postoperative UTIs but further randomized studies are needed to support these findings. Key words: surgical site infection, surgical wound infection, urinary tract infection, urogynecologic surgery, Chlorhexidine, Povidone Iodine, surgical antiseptic,

10
An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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Patient Versus Prediction-Level Evaluation of a Dynamic Clinical Prediction Model of Sepsis

Tuttle, M.; Maas, C. C. H. M.; An, J.; Wessler, B. S.; Harvey, W. F.; Selker, H. P.; van Klaveren, D.; Kent, D. M.

2026-05-27 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354141 medRxiv
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The Epic Sepsis Model version 2 (ESMv2) is a prediction model embedded into the electronic medical record used to warn clinicians which hospitalized patients are at risk for sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 31,951 hospitalizations of 25,760 patients to compare analyses conducted at the commonly used patient-level (where a maximum prediction prior to the onset of sepsis is used to measure performance) vs novel prediction-level (where each prediction is used to measure performance). Sepsis, defined by the Sepsis 3 criteria occurred during 1,049 hospitalizations (3.3%). Patient-level analyses suggested excellent discrimination AUC 0.86; [IQR 0.85, 0.87], whereas prediction-level analyses demonstrated lower performance AUC 0.62; [IQR 0.57, 0.65]. Low estimates of the positive predictive value (14.5% at the patient level vs 4% at the prediction level) imply a high number of false alerts. Common evaluation approaches may overstate the performance of dynamic prediction models and mislead clinical decision-making.

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Can Large Language Models Diagnose Primary Immunodeficiency from Patient-Described Symptoms?

Reteig, L. C.; Woloshin, S.; Maglione, P. J.; Farmer, J. R.; Ong, M.-S.

2026-05-27 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353818 medRxiv
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Patients with primary immunodeficiency (PID) often face prolonged diagnostic delays and may increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) to interpret their symptoms during this period. We evaluated whether an LLM could recognize PID from symptom descriptions derived from interviews with 21 PID patients. In a prior study, we showed that GPT-4o identified PID in 96% of cases when prompted with physician-written patient histories (Rider et al., JACI, 2024). Here, when prompted with symptom descriptions in patients' own words, GPT-5 identified PID in only 7 cases (33%), although it more broadly suggested immune system issues in 18 cases (81%). The gap between these findings indicates that LLMs are sensitive to the language and framing of symptom descriptions, performing substantially worse when patients describe their own symptoms in everyday language than when clinicians summarize patient histories in structured medical terms. This study underscores the need to carefully evaluate how LLMs are used in patient-facing applications.

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ERBB4 deficiency promotes atrial myopathy underlying the atrial fibrillation substrate

Yamaguchi, N.; Santucci, J.; Hong, S. J.; Ferrena, A.; Schlamp, F.; Willett, D.; Casdin, C. J.; Park, P. S.; Lin, X.; Xiao, J.; Hall, S.; Barnard, J.; Achter, J.; Kanhert, K.; Lundby, A.; Chung, M. K.; Van Wagoner, D. R.; Park, D. S.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354173 medRxiv
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Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of stroke, cardiovascular morbidity, and mortality. Atrial myopathy, characterized by progressive metabolic, electrical, and structural changes, creates the arrhythmogenic substrate that drives AF. Defining the key drivers of atrial myopathic processes is essential for targeted therapies that can mitigate AF progression. Here we explore how reduced ERBB4 expression contributes to the development of left atrial myopathy. Methods We analyzed the Cleveland Clinic Biobank to compare left atrial ERBB4 levels in patients grouped by AF diagnosis. To investigate the impact of reduced ERBB4 levels on atrial tissue substrate, we created mouse models of cardiac-specific Erbb4 deficiency using Mlc2a (myosin light chain 2a)-Cre. Comprehensive physiological assessments were performed. Transcriptomic analyses of the left atrium were performed in an Erbb4 haploinsufficient mouse model and compared with human atrial datasets. Molecular validation of key dysregulated pathways was performed. Results We found that left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in patients with AF. Adult cardiomyocyte-specific Erbb4 heterozygous (Erbb4fl/+;Mlc2a-Cre) mice exhibited prolonged P-wave duration in the absence of ventricular dysfunction. Left atrial transcriptomic analysis in Erbb4 haploinsufficient mice showed upregulation of pathways related to fibrosis, apoptosis, and coagulation, and downregulation of pathways related to fatty acid metabolism and mitochondrial function, mirroring changes observed in pressure overload mouse models. A cross-species transcriptomic comparison revealed significant overlap between ERBB4-correlated gene expression and functional pathways in adult human atria and mice with Erbb4 haploinsufficiency. Validating the transcriptomic data, protein and functional assays demonstrated increased fibrosis, apoptosis, and oxidative stress in the mutant left atrial tissue. Conclusion Left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in AF patients. A mouse model of Erbb4 deficiency and human atrial transcriptomic analyses highlight a role for ERBB4 in supporting normal atrial metabolism while protecting against inflammation, apoptosis, and fibrosis.

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Early Life Determinants of Forward Compression Wave Intensity in Adults

Haynes, A.; Mynard, J. P.; van der Veen, M.; Carson, J.; Green, D. J.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354176 medRxiv
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Intro: Characteristics of the pulse wave transmitted through the carotid arteries are predictive of cognitive decline and cerebrovascular health in humans. This study aimed to identify risk factor trajectories in childhood, adolescence and early adulthood that are associated with forward compression wave intensity (FCWI) in the common carotid artery in adults aged 28 years. Methods: Systolic blood pressure (SBP), body mass index (BMI) and fasting blood glucose (FBG) measured at multiple time-points when participants were aged between 8-20 years were included in a trajectory analysis. At age 28 years, FCWI was measured in 402 (M=206, F=196) participants who underwent a Duplex ultrasound assessment of the common carotid artery. Statistical analysis assessed differences in FCWI between each trajectory group for males and females separately. Results: In males, four trajectory groups were identified for BMI, three for SBP, and two for FBG. In females, three trajectory groups were identified for BMI, SBP, and FG. In males, having higher BMI (P=0.006), SBP (P=0.021) and FBG (P=0.002) from ages 8-20 years was associated with greater FCWI at age 28 years. In females, no associations were found between FCWI at age 28-years and trajectory groups for BMI (P=0.185), SBP (P=0.289) or FBG (P=0.070). Conclusion: Having high BMI, SBP and FBG throughout childhood, adolescence and early adulthood was associated with higher FCWI in the carotid artery at age 28 years in males, but not females. This may have a direct impact on the etiology of cognitive decline and cerebrovascular disease in later life.

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Auditable cross-instrument detection of unusual multivariate psychiatric response configurations using a semantically aligned covariance subspace

Periwal, V.

2026-05-27 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353902 medRxiv
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Background: Conventional psychiatric screening instruments summarize symptoms within individual scales and prioritize cases with high single-instrument additive score severity. This design treats items as independent within instruments and ignores cross-instrument covariance structure, making it insensitive to respondents whose responses are distributed across multiple domains in unusual combinations that remain below threshold on every individual scale. Methods: We analyzed two cohorts spanning older and younger adults. Item prompts from depression, stress, anxiety, and sleep instruments were embedded into a shared semantic space using a pretrained sentence encoder. Principal component analysis of the item-prompt embeddings alone---with no use of respondent data at this stage---was used to construct a low-dimensional subspace retaining 80\% of variance in the item embedding matrix. Normalized participant responses were then projected into this subspace, with Jaccard-based stability analysis used as a check on dimensional robustness. Multivariate deviation from the cohort norm was quantified with Mahalanobis distance using Ledoit-Wolf covariance regularization. Candidate outliers were defined by the empirical 95th percentile of the cohort-specific distance distribution. To isolate response configurations not already captured by conventional single-instrument extreme-value logic, we excluded all outlier respondents who had endorsed any individual item at the maximum value of its Likert scale on any instrument. For the remaining outliers, anomalous components were backtracked to their original item loadings for interpretation. Results: In the older-adult Health and Retirement Study (HRS) cohort, principal component analysis of 27 item-prompt embeddings showed that a 10-dimensional subspace provided a stable representation of cross-instrument semantic structure. In the younger-adult Xinxiang cohort the corresponding stable solution was 16-dimensional. In each cohort, seven respondents remained as multivariate outliers despite falling below every single-instrument extreme-value threshold. These cases were not characterized by uniformly severe symptom scores but by unusual cross-domain response configurations that became visible only in the shared semantic covariance subspace. The response structure of the retained configurations differed across cohorts: older-adult cases more often involved weak endorsement of mood-labeled items alongside nonzero body- and sleep-related responses, whereas younger-adult cases more often involved incomplete response configurations spanning mood, sleep, stress, and self-harm-related items. Conclusions: A semantically aligned, auditable covariance subspace provides a practical tool for flagging unusual multivariate response configurations that single-instrument additive screening may not flag. The method is interpretable at the level of original item contributions. It should be understood as a hypothesis-generating screen for unusual response configurations requiring further clinical assessment, not as a diagnostic instrument. Outcome validity remains to be established by prospective study.

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Data Assimilation Substitutes for Biological Complexity in Hybrid Influenza Forecasting Models

Alleman, T. W.; Van Wesemael, T.; Shanker, N.; Mietchen, M. S.; Loo, S.; Ajagbe, S. O.; Baetens, J. M.; Lemaitre, J.; Hill, A. L.; Truelove, S. A.; Bento, A. I.

2026-05-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353597 medRxiv
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Hybrid mechanistic-statistical models offer interpretability and adaptability for short-term seasonal epidemic forecasting, but it remains unclear whether their accuracy depends more on increased biological complexity or on the assimilation of richer data. Using eight retrospective influenza seasons in North Carolina, we evaluate whether training on historical data and assimilating auxiliary emergency department (ED) visit data improves four-week-ahead hospital admission forecasts more than adding biological complexity (multi-subtype structure and cross-season immunity). Hierarchical Bayesian training on historical data improves accuracy by 22.4 % (95 % CI: 16.4-28.1 %), and inclusion of ED visit data yields a further 5.3 % (95 % CI: 3.0-7.6 %) improvement, whereas added biological complexity produces diminishing or null gains. We further observe a substitution effect in which ED visit data partially compensates for omitted biological structure. We deployed a simplified model variant in the 2025-2026 CDC FluSight Challenge and ranked among the top ensemble performers, supporting the robustness of Bayesian hierarchical training in real time. Together, these findings indicate that short-term forecast accuracy is driven more by historical learning and assimilating auxiliary signals than by biological fidelity, with implications for how forecasting systems should balance mechanistic complexity.

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AI Adoption for NCDs in Kenya: A Qualitative Study

Rayo, J.; Cushny, W.; Mwangi, M.; Wanyee, S.; Linguraru, M. G.; Nyaga, N.; Koros, H.; Bosire, M.; Obuya, M.; Ngaruiya, C.

2026-05-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354008 medRxiv
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Background: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) represent a critical public health challenge in Kenya, responsible for over 50% of inpatient admissions and 40% of deaths. While digital health tools and artificial intelligence offer promising ways to improve prevention, diagnosis, and management, little is known about how these tools are perceived and used in practice. There is limited research exploring the views and lived experiences of young people in Kenya, who are a strategic priority for NCD prevention because behavioral risk factors are established in this window, and for Community Health Providers (CHPs) who provide health services within the community. This study aims to address this gap by examining the perspectives of the burden of non-communicable diseases and the potential role of digital health technologies, including artificial intelligence, for preventing and managing these conditions in these specific populations. Methods: A qualitative research design using focus group discussions (FGDs) was employed in Nairobi (urban) and Busia (rural) counties between March and July 2024. Eight FGDs were conducted with 60 participants purposively sampled from three stakeholder groups: community health promoters (CHPs), healthcare workers (HCWs), and youth aged 18-35 years. A semi-structured guide, co-developed with a Community Advisory Board, explored beliefs about NCDs, health-seeking behaviors, lifestyle practices, and attitudes toward digital health and AI. Audio recordings were transcribed verbatim, translated where necessary, and analyzed thematically using grounded theory principles on NVivo software (v12). Results: Six consolidated themes emerged: (1) understanding of NCDs and perceived risk; (2) barriers to NCD prevention and care; (3) the role of CHPs; (4) adoption of AI tools for NCD management; (5) trust, ethics and access concerns; and (6) community-driven recommendations for AI integration. Significant barriers including stigma, economic constraints, and barriers to care were documented alongside enthusiasm for AI tools among youth and CHPs in both urban and rural areas. Conclusion: This study shows that AI tools are being used for NCD prevention and management through spontaneous community adoption. However, it emphasizes the need for culturally relevant, equitable, and community-driven solutions. Effective scaling requires the identification and bridging of digital literacy gaps, the establishment of affordable infrastructure, the protection of data privacy, and the integration of artificial intelligence tools into existing community health frameworks. This process should involve the collaboration of trusted intermediaries, such as CHPs and community leaders, to ensure successful outcomes. Future initiatives should prioritize participatory design, policy frameworks for ethical governance, and targeted capacity building to enhance acceptance and sustainability of digital health innovations in low- and middle-income country settings.

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Thalamic sonication in chronic disorders of consciousness: a mechanistic single-arm clinical trial

Monti, M. M.; Hopkins, A. R.; Spivak, N. M.; Cain, J. A.; Gumarang, J.; Patterson, D.; Rosario, E. R.; Schnakers, C.

2026-05-28 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354167 medRxiv
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Background: Thalamic low-intensity transcranial focused ultrasound (tFUS) has shown promise for increasing behavioral responsiveness in disorders of consciousness (DOC), but no study has examined whether it can causally modulate the well-validated behavioral, electrophysiological, and metabolic biomarkers of DOC impairment. Methods: Sixteen adult patients (44% Female; Age, M=37.81, SD=15.97) with a chronic DOC (Time Since Injury, M=3.39, SD=1.94 years) secondary to severe brain injury (TBI 44%, non-TBI 56%) underwent a 10-day inpatient, longitudinal, single-arm, open-label protocol. tFUS was delivered in a single session targeting the left central thalamus. Well-known behavioral (CRS-R), electrophysiological (EEG {delta}/{beta} ratio), metabolic (18F-FDG PET), and polysomnographic outcomes were assessed at baseline and after sonication. Results: The maximum CRS-R total score increased significantly following tFUS compared to baseline (M=13.27 vs. M=10.33; t(14)=7.407, p<0.001, d=1.913), as did the global EEG {delta}/{beta} ratio (N=14; W=17, p=0.025, r=0.68), with the degree of frontal slowing positively predicting behavioral gains ({tau}b=0.51, p=0.016). Glucose metabolism decreased bilaterally in thalamus and frontal, temporal, and parietal cortices at both post-tFUS timepoints compared to baseline. Finally, N2 sleep increased by 33% following tFUS (N=11; t(10)=2.386, p=0.038, d=0.72), though this did not survive correction. No severe adverse events were observed. Conclusion: Thalamic tFUS can causally modulate well-validated behavioral, electrophysiological, and metabolic biomarkers of DOC. The convergent inhibitory signature across these measures suggests a thalamocortical reset mechanism, complementing existing excitatory neuromodulation approaches and providing the mechanistic foundation for a large, randomized sham-controlled trial.

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Grounding Language Models in Behavioral Science to Scale Physical Activity Interventions for Hispanic/Latinx Populations

Mantena, S. D.; Johnson, A.; Schuetz, N.; Tolas, A.; Montalvo, S.; Delgado-SanMartin, J.; Ramirez Posada, M.; Du, L.; Zhang, S.; Huynh, A. D.; Oppezzo, M.; King, A. C.; Schmiedmayer, P.; Lawrie, A.; Rodriguez, F.; Ashley, E.; Kim, D. S.

2026-05-28 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354165 medRxiv
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Objective: Hispanic/Latinx populations in the U.S. experience higher rates of chronic disease linked to physical inactivity, yet digital health interventions remain largely inaccessible to more than 16 million Hispanic/Latinx adults with limited English proficiency. While large language models (LLMs) offer scalable personalization, their use in non-English behavioral coaching is unexplored. This study introduces MHC-Coach-ES, a Spanish-language LLM fine-tuned on the Transtheoretical Model (TTM) of behavior change. Materials and Methods: We fine-tuned Llama 3-70B-Instruct using a two-stage pipeline. First, the model was adapted to Spanish health and motivational language using a 2.21-million-token corpus. Second, it was instruction-tuned on 3,268 translated human written messages to align the model with the Transtheoretical Model (TTM) of Behavioral Change. We compared MHC-Coach-ES with Llama 3-70B-Instruct and translated human-expert messages using a forced-choice preference survey (N = 77) and blinded expert review (N = 2). Results: Spanish-speaking participants significantly preferred MHC-Coach-ES messages over translated human-expert messages (81% preference, P<0.001). Linguistic analysis showed that MHC-Coach-ES produced more temporally anchored messages than the base model (65% vs. 20%), while maintaining readability. In blinded evaluation, clinical experts rated MHC-Coach-ES higher for alignment with Transtheoretical Model stages than human-expert messages (4.83 vs. 4.38 out of 5). The base model also outperformed translated expert messages across preference and expert ratings. Conclusions: Generative AI can operationalize behavioral science frameworks in Spanish, offering a scalable approach to reducing health disparities. The strong performance of both MHC-Coach-ES and the base model highlights the promise of generative and personalized approaches over translation-based localization for theory-driven behavioral interventions.